And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Big South Conference · Buccaneer Fieldhouse · January 15, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread CHSO -6.5 Away covered
O/U 155.5 Over
Money CHSO -265 / UPST +215
Model Predictions
Spread Total CHSO win
Actual UPST +5 167 Lost
Massey CHSO -8.1 (-13.1)
Massey Totals 153.9 (+13.1)
Bradley-Terry 79%
Weighted B-T 89%
Efficiency Plus ML CHSO -7.6 (-12.6) 151.0 (+16.0) 77%
Baseline Tuned ML CHSO -6.0 (-11.0) 145.8 (+21.2) 74%
Baseline ML CHSO -6.2 (-11.2) 147.1 (+19.9) 75%
Baseline Plus ML CHSO -7.1 (-12.1) 151.1 (+15.9) 75%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 UPST 10094 CHSO
Feb 22, 2025 UPST 7969 CHSO
Jan 29, 2025 CHSO 8275 UPST
Feb 22, 2024 CHSO 6360 UPST
Jan 13, 2024 CHSO 7770 UPST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CHSO UPST
Overall 15-17 13-19
Conference 6-10 5-11
Home 10-4 10-5
Away 5-11 3-13
Neutral 0-2 0-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 80.9 71.0
Avg Pts Against 81.0 75.7
Massey -1.8 (#193) -6.3 (#259)
Bradley-Terry -0.70 (#227) -1.45 (#292)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.88 (#227) -2.33 (#313)
RPI 0.468 (#235) 0.447 (#266)
Shooting & Four Factors CHSO UPST
FG% 44.0% 42.7%
3PT% 34.8% 31.9%
REB / G 41.6 34.7
OREB / G 11.8 9.9
AST / TO 1.25 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.8% 48.5%
TOV% 17.1% 17.9%
ORB% 29.8% 26.9%
FT Rate 20.3% 24.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.7% 49.3%
Opp TOV% 12.2% 16.2%
DRB% 70.5% 67.9%
Opp FT Rate 30.4% 29.0%

Game Analysis

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