Betting Lines
| Spread | SAC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | SAC -125 PRST +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +11 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | SAC -5.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAC -3.1 (+7.9) | 149.1 (-12.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAC -2.7 (+8.3) | 147.8 (-10.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -3.2 (+7.8) | 146.9 (-9.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SAC -2.9 (+8.1) | 148.8 (-11.8) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | PRST 74 – 73 SAC |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PRST 96 – 69 SAC |
| Mar 4, 2025 | PRST 59 – 56 SAC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SAC 56 – 53 PRST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SAC 73 – 61 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-11 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#189) | -1.6 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#158) | 0.29 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#171) | 0.04 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#132) | 0.550 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 43.1% |
Game Analysis
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