Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Atlantic Sun Conference · Pete Mathews Coliseum · December 31, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread JXST -6.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money JXST -250 / UNA +260
Model Predictions
Spread Total JXST win
Actual UNA +4 128 Lost
Massey JXST -5.6 (-9.6) — —
Massey Totals — 147.1 (-19.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 41% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 53% ✗
Baseline Plus ML JXST -1.7 (-5.7) 146.9 (-18.9) 60% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ JXST -3.5 (-7.5) 144.6 (-16.6) 66% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML JXST -2.1 (-6.1) 145.8 (-17.8) 62% ✗
Baseline ML JXST -2.2 (-6.2) 146.5 (-18.5) 59% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 2, 2025 UNA 73 – 66 JXST
Nov 19, 2023 UNA 61 – 59 JXST
Feb 25, 2023 JXST 92 – 83 UNA
Feb 26, 2022 JXST 69 – 52 UNA
Jan 9, 2022 JXST 65 – 55 UNA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings JXST UNA
Overall 13-18 18-15
Conference 6-12 10-8
Home 9-5 9-4
Away 3-12 8-10
Neutral 1-1 1-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak W2 L4
Avg Pts For 67.1 71.8
Avg Pts Against 71.2 76.5
Massey -4.4 (#254) -5.3 (#271)
Bradley-Terry -0.71 (#250) 0.53 (#128)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.07 (#254) -0.21 (#186)
RPI 0.466 (#235) 0.509 (#159)
Shooting & Four Factors JXST UNA
FG% 42.7% 44.2%
3PT% 36.9% 35.1%
REB / G 34.2 34.6
OREB / G 9.8 8.7
AST / TO 0.85 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.0% 49.5%
TOV% 20.1% 17.5%
ORB% 28.3% 24.6%
FT Rate 20.9% 22.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.9% 53.4%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 15.9%
DRB% 71.1% 74.2%
Opp FT Rate 24.2% 23.6%

Game Analysis

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