Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UNA -110 JXST +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +9 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | UNA -3.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+30.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -3.1 (-12.1) | 143.5 (+31.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -1.1 (-10.1) | 142.8 (+32.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -3.3 (-12.3) | 145.5 (+29.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -3.5 (-12.5) | 146.6 (+28.4) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2025 | UNA 73 – 66 JXST |
| Nov 19, 2023 | UNA 61 – 59 JXST |
| Dec 31, 2022 | UNA 66 – 62 JXST |
| Feb 26, 2022 | JXST 69 – 52 UNA |
| Jan 9, 2022 | JXST 65 – 55 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#252) | -4.8 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#150) | -0.88 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#179) | -0.98 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#160) | 0.443 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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