I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
Flowers Hall · January 9, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread JXST -5.5 Away covered
O/U 133.0 Under
Money UNA +205 / JXST -250
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNA win
Actual JXST +10 120 Lost
Massey JXST -4.2 (-5.8) — —
Massey Totals — 127.0 (-7.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 51% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 44% ✓
Baseline Plus ML JXST -2.0 (-8.0) 132.3 (-12.3) 38% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ JXST -5.5 (-4.5) 131.9 (-11.9) 29% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML JXST -2.9 (-7.1) 132.0 (-12.0) 37% ✓
Baseline ML JXST -3.7 (-6.3) 133.2 (-13.2) 38% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 2, 2025 UNA 73 – 66 JXST
Nov 19, 2023 UNA 61 – 59 JXST
Feb 25, 2023 JXST 92 – 83 UNA
Dec 31, 2022 UNA 66 – 62 JXST
Feb 26, 2022 JXST 69 – 52 UNA

Game Analysis

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