Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | JXST -310 UNA +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | JXST -7.3 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -5.6 (-12.6) | 131.5 (+7.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -6.2 (-13.2) | 131.8 (+7.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -5.5 (-12.5) | 131.8 (+7.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -6.3 (-13.3) | 130.4 (+8.6) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2023 | UNA 61 – 59 JXST |
| Feb 25, 2023 | JXST 92 – 83 UNA |
| Dec 31, 2022 | UNA 66 – 62 JXST |
| Feb 26, 2022 | JXST 69 – 52 UNA |
| Jan 9, 2022 | JXST 65 – 55 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-7 | 5-8 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#274) | -8.8 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#237) | -2.35 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#232) | -3.58 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#257) | 0.364 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.7% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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