Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UNA -138 JXST +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +2 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -12.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -7.3 (-5.3) | 140.9 (-20.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -5.4 (-3.4) | 140.1 (-20.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -7.2 (-5.2) | 141.1 (-21.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -9.7 (-7.7) | 142.3 (-22.3) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2025 | UNA 73 – 66 JXST |
| Feb 25, 2023 | JXST 92 – 83 UNA |
| Dec 31, 2022 | UNA 66 – 62 JXST |
| Feb 26, 2022 | JXST 69 – 52 UNA |
| Jan 9, 2022 | JXST 65 – 55 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 6-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#206) | -5.4 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#142) | -2.65 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#140) | -3.77 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#158) | 0.208 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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