This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Flowers Hall · November 19, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread UNA -2.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money UNA -138 / JXST +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNA win
Actual UNA +2 120 Won
Massey UNA -12.3 (-10.3)
Massey Totals 140.6 (-20.6)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML UNA -7.3 (-5.3) 140.9 (-20.9) 78%
Model 4 ML UNA -5.4 (-3.4) 140.1 (-20.1) 74%
Model 3 ML UNA -7.2 (-5.2) 141.1 (-21.1) 74%
Baseline ML UNA -9.7 (-7.7) 142.3 (-22.3) 75%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 2, 2025 UNA 7366 JXST
Feb 25, 2023 JXST 9283 UNA
Dec 31, 2022 UNA 6662 JXST
Feb 26, 2022 JXST 6952 UNA
Jan 9, 2022 JXST 6555 UNA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNA JXST
Overall 15-17 14-18
Conference 8-8 6-10
Home 10-4 8-7
Away 5-13 5-10
Neutral 0-0 1-1
Last 5 1-1 0-2
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 74.8 67.2
Avg Pts Against 77.0 67.6
Massey -1.4 (#206) -5.4 (#275)
Bradley-Terry 0.37 (#142) -2.65 (#349)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.61 (#140) -3.77 (#343)
RPI 0.521 (#158) 0.208 (#356)
Shooting & Four Factors UNA JXST
FG% 40.5% 37.6%
3PT% 32.4% 36.6%
REB / G 37.5 35.5
OREB / G 10.0 12.5
AST / TO 0.58 0.61
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.7% 44.0%
TOV% 23.8% 20.0%
ORB% 26.3% 31.6%
FT Rate 26.7% 28.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.4% 55.3%
Opp TOV% 20.9% 20.7%
DRB% 67.1% 68.7%
Opp FT Rate 26.6% 23.0%

Game Analysis

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