I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–6 on winners spread MAE 9.8 26 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
West Virginia @ Kansas State +2.4 138.2 66% 76–82 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Santa Clara -2.6 133.6 39% 67–64 ✓
San Diego @ San Francisco +11.2 152.9 83% 80–68 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton +7.7 130.6 79% 52–64 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Santa Barbara +11.4 131.5 84% 61–82 ✓
Oregon State @ Oregon +14.1 130.9 87% 68–77 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Idaho State +1.8 146.2 62% 83–90 ✓
Portland @ BYU +8.4 148.4 83% 58–71 ✓
Cal Poly @ Hawai'i +9.9 124.7 83% 48–57 ✓
Vermont @ UMBC +1.4 140.0 54% 74–61 ✗
Indiana State @ Valparaiso -7.9 154.2 26% 68–50 ✓
Murray State @ Evansville -3.6 137.6 30% 78–61 ✓
Cornell @ Dartmouth -8.0 150.3 21% 74–63 ✓
Siena @ Fairfield +0.6 132.6 52% 70–61 ✗
Providence @ DePaul -6.8 151.3 21% 74–59 ✓
Cincinnati @ Temple -1.8 141.2 39% 61–70 ✗
Tulsa @ SMU +7.4 144.8 75% 67–92 ✓
USC @ Washington State +3.9 133.4 70% 71–81 ✓
Drake @ Missouri State +4.9 129.6 68% 49–52 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Manhattan -7.5 146.8 26% 84–65 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Iona +14.4 135.0 89% 55–73 ✓
Maryland @ Michigan -1.1 143.6 56% 46–81 ✗
Memphis @ Tulane -2.9 158.8 38% 89–96 ✗
Belmont @ Southern Illinois +3.6 137.5 70% 45–63 ✓
Iowa @ Penn State +2.7 150.4 62% 79–83 ✓
Butler @ Georgetown -4.1 143.8 30% 80–51 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.