Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | KSU -115 WVU -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +6 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -1.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -1.1 (+4.9) | 142.5 (+15.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -2.4 (+3.6) | 138.2 (+19.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -1.9 (+4.1) | 144.5 (+13.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -1.8 (+4.2) | 145.0 (+13.0) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | KSU 65 – 63 WVU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | WVU 59 – 54 KSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | KSU 73 – 60 WVU |
| Feb 27, 2024 | KSU 94 – 90 WVU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | KSU 81 – 67 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-1 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#38) | 14.5 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#18) | 2.90 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#29) | 4.12 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.617 (#24) | 0.632 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.6% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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