Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | MAN +180 QUIN -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +19 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | QUIN -7.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -6.9 (-12.1) | 148.1 (+0.9) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -7.5 (-11.5) | 146.8 (+2.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -6.8 (-12.2) | 146.8 (+2.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -6.7 (-12.3) | 148.1 (+0.9) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | QUIN 98 – 92 MAN |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MAN 80 – 79 QUIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | QUIN 74 – 71 MAN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | QUIN 77 – 71 MAN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | QUIN 76 – 59 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 5-9 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#344) | 0.4 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#336) | -0.10 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.11 (#345) | -0.08 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#335) | 0.481 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 63.9% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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