Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | TULN +145 MEM -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +7 | 185 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -3.3 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (+29.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -2.5 (+9.5) | 158.3 (+26.7) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -2.9 (+9.9) | 158.8 (+26.2) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -2.7 (+9.7) | 153.7 (+31.3) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -1.9 (+8.9) | 155.4 (+29.6) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | TULN 81 – 69 MEM |
| Mar 8, 2026 | MEM 96 – 95 TULN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TULN 78 – 76 MEM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MEM 78 – 77 TULN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MEM 68 – 56 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-4 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#136) | 9.7 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#196) | 2.14 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#191) | 3.22 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#191) | 0.623 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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