Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -2000 SPU +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +18 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -23.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -18.0 (+0.0) | 137.7 (-9.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -14.4 (+3.6) | 135.0 (-7.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -16.8 (+1.2) | 138.0 (-10.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -18.1 (-0.1) | 137.1 (-9.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | IONA 72 – 64 SPU |
| Jan 19, 2026 | SPU 77 – 63 IONA |
| Dec 8, 2024 | IONA 72 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SPU 59 – 53 IONA |
| Jan 6, 2024 | SPU 69 – 57 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-1 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-4 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 8-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 65.5 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#39) | -8.4 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#75) | -1.20 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#74) | -1.67 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#47) | 0.439 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 39.7% |
Game Analysis
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