Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -118 SPU -102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +8 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -2.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -0.4 (+7.6) | 142.7 (-6.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -1.8 (+6.2) | 140.9 (-4.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -1.3 (+6.7) | 142.2 (-6.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -1.3 (+6.7) | 142.3 (-6.3) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | SPU 77 – 63 IONA |
| Dec 8, 2024 | IONA 72 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SPU 59 – 53 IONA |
| Jan 6, 2024 | SPU 69 – 57 IONA |
| Feb 19, 2023 | IONA 73 – 53 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-3 | 13-1 |
| Away | 6-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#249) | -4.6 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#222) | -0.21 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#217) | -0.49 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#187) | 0.516 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 37.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 35.6% |
Game Analysis
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