Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SPU -180 IONA +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +14 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | SPU -1.8 (+12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -0.8 (+13.2) | 136.9 (+3.1) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -1.2 (+12.8) | 139.3 (+0.7) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -0.8 (+13.2) | 135.1 (+4.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -0.6 (+13.4) | 135.7 (+4.3) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | IONA 72 – 64 SPU |
| Dec 8, 2024 | IONA 72 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SPU 59 – 53 IONA |
| Jan 6, 2024 | SPU 69 – 57 IONA |
| Feb 19, 2023 | IONA 73 – 53 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#240) | -3.1 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#190) | -0.03 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#204) | -0.13 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#188) | 0.504 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.4% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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