Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | SPU +500 IONA -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +20 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -12.4 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -13.3 (-6.7) | 131.8 (-5.8) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -9.9 (-10.1) | 127.6 (-1.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -11.3 (-8.7) | 130.6 (-4.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -11.6 (-8.4) | 131.9 (-5.9) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | IONA 72 – 64 SPU |
| Jan 19, 2026 | SPU 77 – 63 IONA |
| Dec 8, 2024 | IONA 72 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SPU 59 – 53 IONA |
| Jan 6, 2024 | SPU 69 – 57 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 17-3 |
| Home | 8-6 | 11-1 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 8-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.9 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.5 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#305) | 8.0 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#302) | 0.96 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#301) | 1.17 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#291) | 0.577 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.9% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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