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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
9–3 on winners
spread MAE 7.7
12 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-10.2 | 137.7 | 17% | 74–49 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.4 | 135.2 | 41% | 73–57 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.1 | 130.0 | 52% | 59–61 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.1 | 137.9 | 84% | 74–63 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.5 | 137.2 | 41% | 69–61 | ✓ |
|
|
-10.9 | 146.1 | 19% | 76–60 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.5 | 126.6 | 84% | 55–71 | ✓ |
|
|
-9.9 | 141.3 | 16% | 82–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.5 | 138.3 | 55% | 64–60 | ✗ |
|
|
+4.9 | 140.5 | 61% | 67–66 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.5 | 132.7 | 80% | 61–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.8 | 140.1 | 74% | 75–79 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.