Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | NU +105 OSU -133 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +16 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -1.1 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -0.6 (-16.6) | 135.5 (-5.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -1.4 (-14.6) | 135.2 (-5.2) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -0.5 (-16.5) | 135.3 (-5.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NU -1.8 (-17.8) | 136.1 (-6.1) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | OSU 86 – 82 NU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | NU 70 – 49 OSU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | NU 83 – 58 OSU |
| Feb 10, 2023 | NU 69 – 63 OSU |
| Jan 9, 2022 | OSU 95 – 87 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 5-15 |
| Home | 13-5 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#45) | 15.5 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#42) | 1.51 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#47) | 2.05 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#43) | 0.564 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 37.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.5% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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