Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | OSU -250 NU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +6 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -6.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -4.6 (-10.6) | 137.4 (-5.4) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -5.3 (-11.3) | 134.0 (-2.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -4.4 (-10.4) | 137.4 (-5.4) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -4.0 (-10.0) | 138.3 (-6.3) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | OSU 86 – 82 NU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | NU 70 – 49 OSU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | NU 83 – 58 OSU |
| Jan 2, 2023 | OSU 73 – 57 NU |
| Jan 9, 2022 | OSU 95 – 87 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-19 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-6 | 13-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 62.8 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#27) | 9.7 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#94) | 1.80 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#72) | 1.97 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#143) | 0.560 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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