Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | NU -175 OSU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +25 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | NU -1.2 (+23.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -2.9 (+22.1) | 137.8 (+3.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -3.1 (+21.9) | 139.9 (+1.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -2.6 (+22.4) | 140.8 (+0.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -3.1 (+21.9) | 139.6 (+1.4) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | OSU 86 – 82 NU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | NU 70 – 49 OSU |
| Feb 10, 2023 | NU 69 – 63 OSU |
| Jan 2, 2023 | OSU 73 – 57 NU |
| Jan 9, 2022 | OSU 95 – 87 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 15-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#75) | 10.2 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#29) | 1.33 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#27) | 1.81 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#47) | 0.566 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.81 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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