Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +8 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -7.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+37.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -6.8 (+1.2) | 145.1 (+36.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -7.8 (+0.2) | 142.0 (+40.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -7.1 (+0.9) | 144.6 (+37.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -6.8 (+1.2) | 144.1 (+37.9) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | OSU 86 – 82 NU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | NU 70 – 49 OSU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | NU 83 – 58 OSU |
| Feb 10, 2023 | NU 69 – 63 OSU |
| Jan 2, 2023 | OSU 73 – 57 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#28) | 8.7 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#20) | 0.90 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.81 (#21) | 1.37 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.676 (#6) | 0.515 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 2.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 12.5% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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