Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
Big Ten Conference · Welsh-Ryan Arena · December 6, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread OSU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 155.5 Over
Money NU -110 / OSU -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total NU win
Actual OSU +4 168 Lost
Massey NU -4.1 (-8.1) — —
Massey Totals — 153.8 (+14.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 84% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 89% ✗
Baseline Plus ML NU -2.5 (-6.5) 148.5 (+19.5) 60% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NU -4.6 (-8.6) 147.6 (+20.4) 67% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML NU -2.9 (-6.9) 146.6 (+21.4) 63% ✗
Baseline ML NU -2.6 (-6.6) 146.5 (+21.5) 59% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2025 NU 70 – 49 OSU
Jan 28, 2024 NU 83 – 58 OSU
Feb 10, 2023 NU 69 – 63 OSU
Jan 2, 2023 OSU 73 – 57 NU
Jan 9, 2022 OSU 95 – 87 NU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NU OSU
Overall 15-19 21-13
Conference 5-15 12-8
Home 9-8 14-3
Away 3-8 5-6
Neutral 3-3 2-4
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 73.1 79.3
Avg Pts Against 72.0 72.6
Massey 10.2 (#56) 11.1 (#47)
Bradley-Terry 1.25 (#89) 0.71 (#128)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.85 (#87) 1.06 (#121)
RPI 0.578 (#68) 0.544 (#107)
Shooting & Four Factors NU OSU
FG% 50.4% 52.3%
3PT% 35.9% 37.5%
REB / G 33.6 38.9
OREB / G 9.2 9.3
AST / TO 1.95 1.41
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.0% 61.1%
TOV% 13.6% 16.8%
ORB% 30.3% 33.0%
FT Rate 30.0% 36.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.5% 46.1%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 16.4%
DRB% 63.5% 75.3%
Opp FT Rate 26.0% 16.9%

Game Analysis

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