Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | NU -110 OSU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +4 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | NU -4.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (+14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -4.6 (-8.6) | 147.6 (+20.4) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -2.9 (-6.9) | 146.6 (+21.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NU -2.6 (-6.6) | 146.5 (+21.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -2.5 (-6.5) | 148.5 (+19.5) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2025 | NU 70 – 49 OSU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | NU 83 – 58 OSU |
| Feb 10, 2023 | NU 69 – 63 OSU |
| Jan 2, 2023 | OSU 73 – 57 NU |
| Jan 9, 2022 | OSU 95 – 87 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-8 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#56) | 11.1 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#89) | 0.71 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#87) | 1.06 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#68) | 0.544 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 52.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.95 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 61.1% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 36.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 63.5% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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