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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–6 on winners
spread MAE 7.5
14 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rutgers
@
Purdue
|
+4.8 | 132.9 | 66% | 65–64 | ✗ |
West Virginia
@
Oklahoma State
|
+1.7 | 137.4 | 64% | 60–67 | ✓ |
Army
@
Lafayette
|
+2.1 | 135.3 | 58% | 82–65 | ✗ |
Pennsylvania
@
Brown
|
+2.5 | 135.6 | 63% | 76–68 | ✗ |
Jacksonville State
@
Jacksonville
|
+5.1 | 125.5 | 71% | 46–62 | ✓ |
Lipscomb
@
Liberty
|
+12.1 | 139.5 | 87% | 48–77 | ✓ |
Bellarmine
@
North Alabama
|
+3.5 | 133.8 | 60% | 69–65 | ✗ |
Bethune-Cookman
@
Florida A&M
|
+1.5 | 135.1 | 39% | 67–59 | ✗ |
North Florida
@
Stetson
|
+6.6 | 152.9 | 78% | 62–68 | ✓ |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
@
Alabama A&M
|
+4.1 | 139.0 | 79% | 59–66 | ✓ |
Southern
@
Texas Southern
|
+1.7 | 144.7 | 53% | 77–76 | ✗ |
Grambling
@
Prairie View A&M
|
+1.2 | 132.3 | 51% | 60–61 | ✓ |
Florida Gulf Coast
@
Central Arkansas
|
-9.8 | 148.0 | 17% | 84–79 | ✓ |
Marquette
@
St. John's
|
-2.0 | 158.9 | 38% | 96–85 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.