Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | UNA +140 BELL -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | UNA -5.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -5.0 (-9.0) | 135.1 (-1.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -3.5 (-7.5) | 133.8 (+0.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -4.4 (-8.4) | 137.2 (-3.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -3.9 (-7.9) | 137.0 (-3.0) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | UNA 73 – 68 BELL |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UNA 82 – 73 BELL |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UNA 82 – 66 BELL |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BELL 82 – 70 UNA |
| Jan 12, 2024 | UNA 69 – 53 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#258) | -6.1 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#125) | -1.63 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#182) | -2.15 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#155) | 0.445 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 27.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 19.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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