Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | PUR -450 RUTG +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +1 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | PUR -3.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -4.5 (-5.5) | 131.5 (-2.5) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -4.8 (-5.8) | 132.9 (-3.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -4.2 (-5.2) | 131.2 (-2.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -4.7 (-5.7) | 131.0 (-2.0) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | PUR 81 – 65 RUTG |
| Mar 5, 2025 | PUR 100 – 71 RUTG |
| Jan 9, 2025 | PUR 68 – 50 RUTG |
| Feb 23, 2024 | PUR 96 – 68 RUTG |
| Jan 28, 2024 | PUR 68 – 60 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-6 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.7 | 61.1 |
| Massey | 15.0 (#12) | 16.0 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.85 (#1) | 1.05 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.81 (#1) | 2.04 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.656 (#4) | 0.553 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 41.8 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 39.1% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 41.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 25.1% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.8% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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