Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +16 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | PUR -17.1 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -13.9 (-2.1) | 140.1 (+5.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -12.5 (-3.5) | 142.4 (+3.6) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -11.2 (-4.8) | 141.5 (+4.5) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -14.5 (-1.5) | 143.7 (+2.3) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2025 | PUR 100 – 71 RUTG |
| Jan 9, 2025 | PUR 68 – 50 RUTG |
| Feb 23, 2024 | PUR 96 – 68 RUTG |
| Jan 28, 2024 | PUR 68 – 60 RUTG |
| Mar 10, 2023 | PUR 70 – 65 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 30-9 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 13-7 |
| Home | 10-7 | 12-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 10-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#183) | 21.3 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#207) | 4.51 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#198) | 7.12 (#4) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#241) | 0.668 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 51.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 42.3% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 41.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 2.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 59.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 42.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.5% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 14.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.