Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG +400 PUR -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +8 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | PUR -14.3 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -10.7 (+2.7) | 142.6 (-14.6) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -12.3 (+4.3) | 142.2 (-14.2) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -12.9 (+4.9) | 141.7 (-13.7) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -11.2 (+3.2) | 143.8 (-15.8) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | PUR 81 – 65 RUTG |
| Mar 5, 2025 | PUR 100 – 71 RUTG |
| Jan 9, 2025 | PUR 68 – 50 RUTG |
| Feb 23, 2024 | PUR 96 – 68 RUTG |
| Mar 10, 2023 | PUR 70 – 65 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 34-5 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 17-3 |
| Home | 12-5 | 16-0 |
| Away | 3-9 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 11-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 82.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#99) | 23.1 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#92) | 3.76 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#86) | 4.52 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#118) | 0.695 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 40.6% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 41.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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