Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | PUR -750 RUTG +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +29 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | PUR -12.5 (+16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (+18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -12.9 (+16.1) | 154.3 (+16.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -11.9 (+17.1) | 151.8 (+19.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -12.0 (+17.0) | 154.0 (+17.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -11.4 (+17.6) | 153.9 (+17.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | PUR 81 – 65 RUTG |
| Jan 9, 2025 | PUR 68 – 50 RUTG |
| Feb 23, 2024 | PUR 96 – 68 RUTG |
| Jan 28, 2024 | PUR 68 – 60 RUTG |
| Mar 10, 2023 | PUR 70 – 65 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 17.5 (#17) | 8.4 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.89 (#20) | 1.34 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.71 (#17) | 2.01 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.631 (#9) | 0.536 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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