Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG +135 PUR -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +18 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | PUR -4.9 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-35.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -3.9 (-14.1) | 148.2 (-30.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -4.8 (-13.2) | 147.8 (-29.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -4.1 (-13.9) | 148.5 (-30.5) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -3.8 (-14.2) | 148.5 (-30.5) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | PUR 81 – 65 RUTG |
| Mar 5, 2025 | PUR 100 – 71 RUTG |
| Feb 23, 2024 | PUR 96 – 68 RUTG |
| Jan 28, 2024 | PUR 68 – 60 RUTG |
| Mar 10, 2023 | PUR 70 – 65 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 13-7 |
| Home | 11-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#83) | 15.0 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#102) | 2.94 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#90) | 3.87 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#85) | 0.667 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 39.6% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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