Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU +120 BCU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +8 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | FAMU -4.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -0.8 (-8.8) | 137.4 (-11.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -1.5 (-9.5) | 135.1 (-9.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -1.8 (-9.8) | 138.2 (-12.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -1.4 (-9.4) | 139.3 (-13.3) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | FAMU 81 – 77 BCU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BCU 87 – 83 FAMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | BCU 76 – 75 FAMU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BCU 62 – 55 FAMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BCU 67 – 66 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 4-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-15 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.2 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -15.3 (#353) | -15.8 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.14 (#355) | -1.97 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.98 (#354) | -2.47 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#314) | 0.364 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 27.3 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.50 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.1% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 25.2% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 58.7% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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