Betting Lines
| Spread | STET -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | STET -167 UNF +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +6 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | STET -9.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (-24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -6.6 (-0.6) | 150.5 (-20.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -6.6 (-0.6) | 152.9 (-22.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -6.5 (-0.5) | 151.4 (-21.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STET -6.1 (-0.1) | 150.3 (-20.3) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | STET 76 – 71 UNF |
| Jan 30, 2026 | STET 84 – 77 UNF |
| Feb 19, 2025 | UNF 79 – 71 STET |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UNF 101 – 100 STET |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UNF 78 – 59 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#187) | -6.2 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#156) | -0.39 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#156) | -0.69 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#141) | 0.513 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 12.6% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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