Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | BRWN +110 PENN -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +8 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | BRWN -4.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -2.4 (-10.4) | 138.3 (+5.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -2.5 (-10.5) | 135.6 (+8.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -2.2 (-10.2) | 137.1 (+6.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -2.3 (-10.3) | 138.4 (+5.6) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PENN 82 – 61 BRWN |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PENN 81 – 73 BRWN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BRWN 82 – 72 PENN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | BRWN 88 – 79 PENN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | BRWN 71 – 64 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 17-13 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 9-5 |
| Home | 7-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#197) | -1.3 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#203) | -0.53 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#207) | -0.35 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#205) | 0.493 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 79.3% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.