Betting Lines
| Spread | LAF -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | LAF -110 ARMY +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +17 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | LAF -7.5 (-24.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAF -3.1 (-20.1) | 134.5 (+12.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAF -2.1 (-19.1) | 135.3 (+11.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAF -3.3 (-20.3) | 134.4 (+12.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -3.3 (-20.3) | 135.3 (+11.7) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LAF 83 – 77 ARMY |
| Feb 7, 2026 | LAF 63 – 60 ARMY |
| Feb 26, 2025 | LAF 81 – 65 ARMY |
| Jan 15, 2025 | ARMY 70 – 68 LAF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | LAF 64 – 56 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAF | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-23 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-16 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#250) | -7.1 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#339) | -1.61 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#327) | -2.19 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#286) | 0.388 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAF | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 14.1% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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