Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU -250 UAPB +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +7 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | AAMU -4.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -2.4 (+4.6) | 141.3 (-16.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -4.1 (+2.9) | 139.0 (-14.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -2.6 (+4.4) | 140.0 (-15.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -2.1 (+4.9) | 142.7 (-17.7) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | AAMU 82 – 70 UAPB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UAPB 95 – 83 AAMU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | AAMU 75 – 61 UAPB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | AAMU 89 – 79 UAPB |
| Feb 20, 2024 | AAMU 75 – 67 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#320) | -8.8 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.54 (#349) | -2.24 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.15 (#346) | -3.34 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.375 (#354) | 0.458 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 36.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 41.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 63.2% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 33.8% |
Game Analysis
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