Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | IUIN +800 WRST -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +14 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -9.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -8.9 (-5.1) | 143.6 (+6.4) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -9.9 (-4.1) | 141.3 (+8.7) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -7.9 (-6.1) | 139.7 (+10.3) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -8.2 (-5.8) | 140.9 (+9.1) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | WRST 85 – 73 IUIN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | WRST 81 – 77 IUIN |
| Mar 5, 2025 | WRST 98 – 85 IUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IUIN 91 – 84 WRST |
| Feb 9, 2025 | WRST 91 – 73 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 10-10 |
| Home | 4-9 | 9-6 |
| Away | 0-15 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 78.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -17.2 (#361) | -3.3 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.24 (#357) | -0.74 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.87 (#354) | -0.89 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.327 (#360) | 0.450 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 29.2 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.52 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 24.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 14.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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