Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | LEH +450 COLG -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +16 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -8.9 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -8.7 (-7.3) | 150.8 (-14.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -10.9 (-5.1) | 146.1 (-10.1) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -8.4 (-7.6) | 154.5 (-18.5) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -8.7 (-7.3) | 153.2 (-17.2) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LEH 76 – 69 COLG |
| Jan 31, 2026 | LEH 77 – 76 COLG |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LEH 78 – 77 COLG |
| Feb 3, 2025 | LEH 94 – 68 COLG |
| Jan 9, 2025 | COLG 67 – 62 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 17-1 |
| Home | 9-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 7-8 | 11-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#339) | 2.4 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#296) | -0.43 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#313) | -0.05 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#280) | 0.475 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 51.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 42.2% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 59.6% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
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