Betting Lines
| Spread | ALCN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | ALCN -175 JKST +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +1 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | ALCN -6.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALCN -5.4 (-6.4) | 145.3 (-12.3) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALCN -4.9 (-5.9) | 140.5 (-7.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALCN -5.2 (-6.2) | 146.0 (-13.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ALCN -5.3 (-6.3) | 146.5 (-13.5) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | ALCN 83 – 65 JKST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | JKST 89 – 86 ALCN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | JKST 71 – 63 ALCN |
| Jan 4, 2025 | JKST 72 – 69 ALCN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | ALCN 87 – 73 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALCN | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-2 | 7-2 |
| Away | 10-10 | 6-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#295) | -8.8 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#185) | -1.82 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#181) | -3.20 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#150) | 0.435 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALCN | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.4% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 25.6% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.0% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 24.5% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 14.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.8% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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