Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | NIA +100 RID -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +2 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | NIA -2.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -0.8 (+1.2) | 130.6 (-10.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -1.1 (+0.9) | 130.0 (-10.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -2.2 (-0.2) | 129.8 (-9.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -1.5 (+0.5) | 130.8 (-10.8) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | RID 67 – 62 NIA |
| Mar 8, 2025 | RID 77 – 76 NIA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | RID 68 – 65 NIA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | RID 71 – 61 NIA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | NIA 78 – 74 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#238) | -1.6 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#175) | -0.60 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#199) | -0.66 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#184) | 0.457 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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