Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -111 BU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +8 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | BUCK -4.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -1.9 (-9.9) | 138.4 (-8.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -0.5 (-7.5) | 137.2 (-7.2) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -2.4 (-10.4) | 139.1 (-9.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -2.2 (-10.2) | 138.9 (-8.9) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | BU 82 – 69 BUCK |
| Jan 31, 2026 | BUCK 103 – 97 BU |
| Feb 13, 2025 | BUCK 76 – 60 BU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BU 85 – 82 BUCK |
| Feb 10, 2024 | BU 77 – 62 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#236) | -3.8 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#289) | -0.72 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#275) | -1.14 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#307) | 0.456 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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