Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 121.5 Under |
| Money | HAW -600 CP +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +9 | 105 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -12.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -9.3 (-0.3) | 126.2 (-21.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -9.9 (-0.9) | 124.7 (-19.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -9.9 (-0.9) | 127.4 (-22.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -9.8 (-0.8) | 126.1 (-21.1) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CP 86 – 75 HAW |
| Jan 16, 2026 | HAW 86 – 66 CP |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CP 79 – 63 HAW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | HAW 68 – 55 CP |
| Feb 16, 2024 | HAW 80 – 51 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 8-25 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 1-18 |
| Home | 13-5 | 6-11 |
| Away | 6-4 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 59.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.0 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#120) | -5.0 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#133) | -0.70 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#105) | -0.92 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#175) | 0.441 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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