Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | HAW -800 CP +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +11 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -13.3 (-24.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -12.6 (-23.6) | 155.7 (+5.3) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -9.7 (-20.7) | 159.2 (+1.8) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -11.4 (-22.4) | 154.5 (+6.5) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -11.8 (-22.8) | 155.6 (+5.4) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | HAW 86 – 66 CP |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CP 79 – 63 HAW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | HAW 68 – 55 CP |
| Feb 16, 2024 | HAW 80 – 51 CP |
| Jan 28, 2024 | HAW 83 – 73 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 16-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.7 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 85.3 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#96) | -4.7 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#95) | -0.59 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#103) | -0.71 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#122) | 0.471 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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