Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Over |
| Money | HAW -1400 CP +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +10 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -13.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.3 (+29.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -9.4 (+0.6) | 130.0 (+26.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -11.4 (-1.4) | 130.4 (+25.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -9.1 (+0.9) | 128.9 (+27.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -9.7 (+0.3) | 127.3 (+28.7) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CP 86 – 75 HAW |
| Jan 16, 2026 | HAW 86 – 66 CP |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CP 79 – 63 HAW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | HAW 68 – 55 CP |
| Feb 16, 2024 | HAW 80 – 51 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 0-20 |
| Home | 13-6 | 3-11 |
| Away | 4-6 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L20 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#186) | -11.1 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#224) | -1.84 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#216) | -2.39 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#246) | 0.389 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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