Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Over |
| Money | CP +285 HAW -365 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +29 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -7.1 (-21.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -6.8 (-22.2) | 135.4 (-4.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -8.4 (-20.6) | 134.1 (-3.1) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -6.7 (-22.3) | 134.6 (-3.6) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -6.5 (-22.5) | 135.2 (-4.2) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CP 86 – 75 HAW |
| Jan 16, 2026 | HAW 86 – 66 CP |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CP 79 – 63 HAW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | HAW 68 – 55 CP |
| Jan 28, 2024 | HAW 83 – 73 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 0-20 | 11-9 |
| Home | 3-11 | 13-6 |
| Away | 0-16 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L20 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#330) | -0.5 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#337) | -0.11 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.62 (#338) | -0.09 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.383 (#352) | 0.473 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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