Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | CP +215 HAW -265 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +20 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -7.7 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -8.4 (-11.6) | 147.9 (+4.1) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -5.9 (-14.1) | 147.3 (+4.7) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -8.3 (-11.7) | 144.5 (+7.5) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -7.4 (-12.6) | 144.4 (+7.6) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CP 86 – 75 HAW |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CP 79 – 63 HAW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | HAW 68 – 55 CP |
| Feb 16, 2024 | HAW 80 – 51 CP |
| Jan 28, 2024 | HAW 83 – 73 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 16-3 |
| Away | 6-11 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 78.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#233) | 7.0 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#231) | 0.93 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#238) | 1.31 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#248) | 0.515 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 31.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 42.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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