Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | SCU +188 SMC -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +3 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | SMC -4.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -1.6 (-1.4) | 135.0 (-4.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -2.6 (-0.4) | 133.6 (-2.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -2.2 (-0.8) | 134.8 (-3.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -1.8 (-1.2) | 134.7 (-3.7) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | SCU 76 – 71 SMC |
| Feb 26, 2026 | SMC 86 – 67 SCU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SCU 62 – 54 SMC |
| Feb 12, 2025 | SMC 73 – 64 SCU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | SMC 67 – 54 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 14-2 |
| Home | 14-4 | 16-2 |
| Away | 6-3 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 60.0 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#91) | 13.8 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#53) | 1.65 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#58) | 2.72 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#38) | 0.587 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 80.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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