Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -1600 ORST +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +9 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -15.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.4 (+21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -10.0 (-1.0) | 129.7 (+15.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -14.1 (-5.1) | 130.9 (+14.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -11.3 (-2.3) | 131.9 (+13.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -11.3 (-2.3) | 131.1 (+13.9) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2025 | ORE 87 – 75 ORST |
| Nov 22, 2024 | ORE 78 – 75 ORST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ORE 78 – 71 ORST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ORE 60 – 58 ORST |
| Feb 26, 2023 | ORE 69 – 67 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 5-15 |
| Home | 15-6 | 10-7 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 60.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#62) | -2.9 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#111) | -0.19 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#97) | -0.66 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#106) | 0.473 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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