Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -1800 ORST +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +12 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -10.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -9.4 (+2.6) | 137.1 (+24.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -8.0 (+4.0) | 133.0 (+29.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -7.3 (+4.7) | 132.5 (+29.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -7.5 (+4.5) | 132.4 (+29.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2024 | ORE 78 – 75 ORST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ORE 78 – 71 ORST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ORE 60 – 58 ORST |
| Feb 26, 2023 | ORE 69 – 67 ORST |
| Jan 1, 2023 | ORE 77 – 68 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-7 | 12-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#173) | -3.1 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#30) | 1.91 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.15 (#33) | 2.39 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.738 (#12) | 0.746 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 42.3 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 43.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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