Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | ORST +333 ORE -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +2 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -8.3 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -8.6 (+6.6) | 130.3 (+5.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -8.2 (+6.2) | 130.1 (+5.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -7.6 (+5.6) | 130.7 (+5.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -8.3 (+6.3) | 131.6 (+4.4) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2025 | ORE 87 – 75 ORST |
| Nov 22, 2024 | ORE 78 – 75 ORST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ORE 78 – 71 ORST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ORE 60 – 58 ORST |
| Jan 1, 2023 | ORE 77 – 68 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-7 | 15-6 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.5 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#206) | 10.2 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#209) | 1.22 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#219) | 1.69 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#276) | 0.550 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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