Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | ORST +225 ORE -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | ORST -4.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (+16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -4.5 (-7.5) | 134.8 (+18.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORST -1.5 (-4.5) | 138.9 (+14.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -4.1 (-7.1) | 134.2 (+18.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -4.7 (-7.7) | 132.6 (+20.4) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2025 | ORE 87 – 75 ORST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ORE 78 – 71 ORST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ORE 60 – 58 ORST |
| Feb 26, 2023 | ORE 69 – 67 ORST |
| Jan 1, 2023 | ORE 77 – 68 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#82) | 7.7 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#111) | 2.00 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#125) | 3.04 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#196) | 0.607 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 42.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.6% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 14.6% |
Game Analysis
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