Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -1400 ORST +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +7 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -11.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -11.6 (-4.6) | 140.2 (+8.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -11.5 (-4.5) | 140.9 (+8.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -10.5 (-3.5) | 137.7 (+11.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -10.8 (-3.8) | 137.8 (+11.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2025 | ORE 87 – 75 ORST |
| Nov 22, 2024 | ORE 78 – 75 ORST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ORE 60 – 58 ORST |
| Feb 26, 2023 | ORE 69 – 67 ORST |
| Jan 1, 2023 | ORE 77 – 68 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 5-15 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#62) | 0.5 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#60) | 0.26 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#63) | 0.41 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#64) | 0.491 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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