Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | ORST +225 ORE -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +2 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -6.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -4.7 (+2.7) | 141.1 (-23.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -6.7 (+4.7) | 139.8 (-21.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -4.8 (+2.8) | 140.4 (-22.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -4.8 (+2.8) | 139.6 (-21.6) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2025 | ORE 87 – 75 ORST |
| Nov 22, 2024 | ORE 78 – 75 ORST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ORE 78 – 71 ORST |
| Feb 26, 2023 | ORE 69 – 67 ORST |
| Jan 1, 2023 | ORE 77 – 68 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#166) | 9.0 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#151) | 1.54 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#152) | 1.80 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#193) | 0.568 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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